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Top 41 Review: 26-30

By Toby Hyde on 09. Jul, 2009

I continue my review of my pre-season ranking of the Mets Top 41 prospects.  Part 1 (36-41) is here, while part 2 (31-35) is here.  This is a group where only the youngest player, Jeurys Familia, has improved his stock.

ALL STATS IN TABLES CURRENT AS OF JULY 1, 2009.

#26 SS Jose Coronado

  G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG BB% SO% XBH% Total PA
07 AA 81 307 65 7 2 1 31 84 7 3 .212 .284 .257 9.0 24.3 2.9 346
08 AA 139 507 132 24 0 1 57 79 9 3 .260 .335 .314 9.8 13.6 4.3 582
08 VWL 27 91 28 4 2 1 9 18 0 1 .308 .373 .429 8.8 17.6 6.9 102
09 AAA 29 85 12 2 0 0 11 22 2 0 .141 .240 .165 11.0 22.0 2.0 100
09 AA 41 146 38 4 1 0 13 29 5 0 .260 .319 .301 7.9 17.6 3.0 165

Stock: down

coronado-b-mets-headshotCoronado began his age 23 season by contributing to the Mets disastrous start in Buffalo.  Returned to Binghamton, Coronado has increased his batting average from a year ago, but his walk rate has declined, while his strkeout rate has risen.  It’s probably not a good thing when his best offensive attribute is his bunting skill.  Can he be a big league utility guy?  Maybe.  Can he hit enough to play everyday?  Looking awfully doubtful.

#27 Jeurys Familia

  G/GS ERA IP H R ER HR BB SO BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
08 GCL 11/11 2.79 51.2 46 20 16 2 13 38 2.29 6.68 2.92
09 SAL 15/14 2.95 82.1 66 33 27 2 29 62 3.18 6.80 2.14

Stock: Up

As a 19-year old in the SAL, Familia has upped his K/rate just a tick from his 2008 in the GCL.  A walk rate a shade above three batters per nine innings is fine here too.  He’s still far away, but doing just fine.

#28 RHP Stephen Clyne

  W-L-S G/GS ERA IP H R ER HR BB SO BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB
08 SSA 1-3-2 17/0 2.82 22.1 19 9 7 1 12 23 4.89 9.37 1.92
08 A+ 2-2-9 27/0 5.92 38 36 30 25 3 15 23 3.55 5.45 1.53
08 Total 3-5-1 44/0 4.79 60.1 55 39 32 4 27 46 4.04 6.89 1.7
09 A+ 1-0-1 9/0 1.35 13.1 6 3 2 0 6 10 4.05 6.77 1.67
09 AA 1-0-0 15/0 4.78 26.1 33 14 14 1 17 16 5.86 5.52 0.94

Stock: Down

He walks more batters than he strikes out in AA.  In what world does that translate to MLB success?  To my eyes, both his fastball and his slider have regressed from last summer in Brooklyn to this summer in Binghamton.  Clyne was never more than a middle relief candidate, and now that looks like a big stretch.

#29 3B Shawn Bowman

  G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO SB CS AVG OBP SLG BB% SO% XBH% PA
A+ 26 97 33 4 2 2 4 23 0 1 .340 .369 .485 3.88 22.33 7.77 103
AA 29 113 28 7 0 2 2 35 3 1 .248 .263 .363 1.68 29.41 7.56 119
AFL 9 37 11 3 0 2 2 5 0 0 .297 .333 .541 5.13 12.82 12.82 39
Total 64 247 72 14 2 6 8 63 3 2 .291 .314 .437 3.07 24.14 8.43 261
AA 67 262 73 15 2 7 20 74 0 0 .279 .332 .431 6.99 25.87 8.39 286

Stock: down a littleshawn-bowman-stance

The shame of the simple assessment of “down,” is that Shawn Bowman is a better baseball player in 2009 than he was in 2008.  His walk rate at AA has improved from execrable (2%) to simple bad (7%).  He’s hitting for a little more power.  However he’s still striking out in a quarter of his plate appearances and his improvements at age 24 don’t look like enough to be an MLB starter, certainly not with David Wright in front of him.  Maybe it’s time to grab an outfielders’ glove and see if he can learn to fill a four-corners utility role.  The problem with that plan is that his best feature is his defense at thirdbase.

#30 RHP Nick Carr

  G/GS ERA IP H R ER HR BB SO BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB  
08 A 4/4 3.33 24.1 22 11 9 0 4 16 1.49 5.98 4.00  
08 A+ 22/21 5.70 94.2 103 64 60 10 50 80 4.78 7.64 1.60  
08 Total 40/28 5.22 119 125 75 69 10 54 96 4.08 7.26 1.78  
09 A+ 14/2 3.59 42.2 36 21 17 1 28 42 5.97 8.96 1.50  

Stock: Down

carr-leg-kick

The Mets are in basically the same place with Carr as they’ve been the last two years, waiting for him to throw some more strikes.  He’s got a big league arm with nice velocity on his fastball, but just doesn’t throw enough strikes with it.  The club moved him to the bullpen, where his ERA is better, but walk rate is even worse.

The Mets should not give up on Carr’s arm, but it’s getting harder to believe Carr will suddenly figure it out and throw enough strikes to be a big league pitcher.  At this point, he’s no more than a middle reliever.

4 Comments

Leave a comment
  1. ravin108
    09. Jul, 2009 at 12:36 pm #

    I would be a little more optimistic about Bowman. Watching him in Binghamton, I definitely saw the potential. He’s been really hurt by injuries in his career and I still believe in his bat with more reps. This is a guy who I’d hope that in the case of a serious injury to DWright in 2010 or 2011 will be able to play 3B everyday for NY.
    If he’s able to stay healthy, I think Bowman can be a late bloomer in his mid-late 20s.

    • Not4Nuttin
      09. Jul, 2009 at 12:55 pm #

      I’m with you Ravin. With all the time he missed because of his back issues, I don’t think we can really look at him as a 24 year old. Rather, I’d think of him as a 22 year old, who still needs some time to develop better plate discipline, which should lead to better and more powerful contact. Still have visions of him being like Rolen.

      • Not4Nuttin
        09. Jul, 2009 at 12:57 pm #

        I realize I am likely just being stubborn and not giving up on a guy, but I do think because of his injuries, that he deserves the rest of this season and all of next before we move on.

  2. NickM
    09. Jul, 2009 at 3:59 pm #

    dont mean to bring this off topic, but adam rubin posted: “Highly regarded pitching prospect Dillon Gee did not have surgery on his labrum. He rehabbed, and is set to begin tossing on flat ground next week.”

    thats good news.. i thought he originally said that he did have surgery (or maybe it was some other website or blog).. anyway, yeah thats good news.

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