Yesterday, in a lengthy chat at Baseball Prospectus, Kevin Goldstein took two Mets questions.
Kamryn (Wilmington): Kevin, Wilmer Flores is handling himself pretty well in Low-A. Is there a guy you liken him to? If he doesn’t stick at SS can his bat play elsewhere?
Kevin Goldstein: He’s just so young that he can go in so many directions. I still don’t hate the Miggy Cab comp, but that’s also way too much to compare a guy so far away to. There’s nowhere he’s a shortstop in the end, but I really like the bat.
big baby (nj): Same question you just answered about Jason Knapp [starter or reliever], only this time, Brad Holt.
Kevin Goldstein: Curveball is better, but still not refined. I like him quite a bit, but I’m still not totally sold on him as a starter.
re: Holt – the high K-rate is there.. he doesn’t give up too many hits.. his walks have been down compared to last year.. eh has Goldstein ever praised a Mets’ prospect?
re: Flores – well hes right that its too early to give him a good comparison to anyone. and i also agree i doubt he sticks at SS.
hey Toby the guy from ScoutingtheSally praised Carson and Familia when I asked about them.. I brought up the weak K-rate and he noted they have huge GB% which will eventually turn into strikeouts as their breaking balls become more refined.. he also said Familia’s K% is increasing monthly: “Familia K% = May – 16.4%, June – 20.5%, July – 29.8 % (see a trend)” – ScoutingtheSally
What evidence is there to support the notion that minor leaguers in A-ball with strong gb rates see subsequent increases in their K-rates?
well this is what he said exactly: “And with Familia/Carson….HUGE GB% early in their careers. With breaking ball refinement, some of those GB’s turn to K’s.”
via twitter..
…don’t ground balls turn into hits as pitchers face better hitting?..
I find this logic interesting, but it doesn’t seem to follow unless Familia will be staying in the SAL for a few years.