1 0 Archive | September, 2009
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Duda and Havens to AFL

By Toby Hyde on 29. Sep, 2009

SurpriseRaftersLogoMonday, the Mets announced that OF Lucas Duda and SS Reese Havens would complete the Mets contributions to the Surpris Rafters in the Arizona Fall League.  Duda and Havens join 1B Ike Davis, RHP Jenrry Mejia, SS Ruben Tejada, RHP Scott Moviel, LHP Eric Niesen and RHP Josh Stinson in the desert.

The 23-year old Duda hit .281/.380/.428 for AA Binghamton this year with nine HR.  Powered by a five HR July, Duda hit .302/.394/.570 in 86 AB after the All-Star Break compared to .275/.376/.388 in 309 AB before the Break.  That’s a 200 point increase in OPS from .764 to .964.  Impressive stuff.  However, the lefthanded hitting Duda has just a wee bit of work to do if he’s to become more than a platoon guy after hitting .192/.283/.225 against southpaws and crushing righties at a .320/.421/.516 pace.

Havens will join the AFL team’s taxi squad and be available for Wednesday and Saturday’s games.  Havens popped 14 HR, placing him sixth in the FSL as part of a .247/.361/.422 season.

Many Mets fans were hoping that CF Kirk Nieuwenhuis would get the nod for the Mets final OF spot in the AFL, but sending Duda makes some sense.  The AFL is supposed to be a finishing school for top prospects, and Duda is more ready for that than Nieuwenhuis, who’s played all of eight games at AA.  Duda deserves a chance against top competition to show that his second half improvement is real.  Nieuwenhuis will start 2010 at AA, a level behind Duda and his performance from there will dictate his future assignments.

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Manuel on Evans: Huh?

By Toby Hyde on 29. Sep, 2009

I’m baffled by the Jerry Manuel quotes in this article by Ryan Cloaianni at MLB.com about Nick Evans.

Here’s Jerry:

“I just think we are in a situation where we are somewhat forced to bring people up probably quicker than we would have liked,” Mets manager Jerry Manuel said, “and he is probably one of those guys that we probably pushed a little too early, and then when you do that it appears that his stock has fallen, but it hasn’t.”

Although I disagree with Manuel about Evans’ stock falling, mostly because he hasn’t played, I understand at least what he’s trying to say there, but not here:

“It is just the fact that we are in a situation where we needed to find other people, and we preferred to have him instead of that.”

So, the Mets needed to “find other people” and preferred Evans to those other people but can’t find him a start in a lost season’s final weeks?  What’s the “that” that Manuel concludes his sentence refer to?  I’m so confused.

Evans has started four games since July 7.

So, Manuel explains, this has been a valuable season for Evans because he’s hung out in the big leagues:

“I think any time you get to experience the Major Leagues as a young player and see some things, and then you kind of formulate in your mind that, ‘Hey, I can do this, I can do that,’ and get an opportunity to go and play, I don’t think it can be considered a waste,” Manuel said.

But how would Evans say, “hey, I can do this, I can do that” when he HAS NOT had an opportunity to go play?  In September, Evans has 16 AB spread over 10 games, while Cory Sullivan has 43 AB.

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The Firings Just Keep on Coming

By Toby Hyde on 29. Sep, 2009

pink-slipThe Major League season is slowly coming to its painful close for the Mets, but the team has already been busy firing minor league staffers.

Adam Rubin in the Daily News reports that the Mets have fired AA Manager Mako Oliveras and GCL Manager and longtime big leaguer Julio Frano.  Rubin describes Oliveras as an “ally” of deposed VP of Player Development Tony Bernazard.  Just before Bernazard was fired, you might recall Oliveras telling a reporter that Bernazard had done nothing wrong in the Binghamton clubhouse, “I think it’s been blown out of proportion,” he said at the time.

Last week, the Mets fired Special Assistant to the GM Ramon Pena and Field Coordinator Luis Aguayo.

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BA: Puello #9 Prospect in APPY League

By Toby Hyde on 28. Sep, 2009

baseball-america-logo.jpgBaseball America is running through their series of the best prospects in each minor league.  None of the GCL Mets made their league’s top 20, but Cesar Puello is #9 in the Appalachian League says BA.

With the caveat that there are questions about his makeup, Puello’s potential for five major league average tools affords him the benefit of the doubt for now. Signed by the Mets for $400,000 out of the Dominican Republic in 2007, he’s a strong athlete with a solid 6-foot-2, 195-pound build and loose actions. He stole 15 bases in 20 attempts this season, and his plus speed rates as his best present tool.

Puello starts with an unconventional stance—one manager likened it to him sitting in a chair—but he has a pure, righthanded line-drive stroke. The ball comes off his bat well, and he already has natural power to left field. As he learns to use the opposite field, he’ll be more effective at the plate.

An aggressive player by nature, Puello showed an undisciplined approach at the plate, and some league observers questioned his maturity. His mindset works well in right field, where Puello charges balls with abandon and likes to show off his plus arm.

His plus speed might rate as his best present tool, but it’s his natural hitting ability that will potentially make him a big leaguer.  And of course, to be a good MLBer, he will need to grow into his power and overcome his walk-phobia just 10 in 196 AB for Kingsport.

And, if Matt Eddy’s subsequent chat is any indication, there’s a Mets fan out there in Missouri who follows the minors pretty closely:

    Mike (MO): Although Richard Lucas did not make the list, what kind of prospect do you see him as?

Matthew Eddy: Lucas came close to making the list, and he might have gotten the benefit of the doubt had this showing come a year ago. A fourth-rounder from ’07, he missed the majority of the ’08 season while dealing with off-field issues. Lucas returned with a vengeance this season, showing off natural strength and righthanded bat speed by driving the ball to all fields. He knows the strike zone, too, and handled himself well after a promotion to the New York-Penn League. He’s nothing special at third base, but Lucas has pop-up prospect potential.

    Mike (MO): Did any other Mets receive consideration for the top 20?

Matthew Eddy: While we’re talking about Kingsport’s Richard Lucas, let’s touch on two others from that squad. The Mets’ fourth-rounder this year, Darrell Cecilliani hails from a small town in Washington, but he’s made strides over the course of the past few years. He’s a 70 runner who can handle center field and steal bases, but his bat has a ways to go. A lefthanded hitter, he takes a fairly direct route to the ball and has enough pop to drive the ball into the gaps. Cecilliani could develop into a 50-55 type hitter with strong plate discipline and a center-field profile. And secondly, 2B Alonzo Harris lacks pitch recognition skills and tends to swing too big, but he’s a quick-twitch athlete who ripped 10 HR and stole 15 bases this season. His feet are quick enough to handle second, though he remains an inconsistent defender.

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US Wins IBAF World Cup

By Toby Hyde on 28. Sep, 2009

IBAF 2009 World Cup LogoThe US defended its IBAF World Cup title by beating Cuba 10-6 on Sunday in front of a sellout crowd of 5,600 in Nettuno, Italy, a sea-side town a little over an hour south of Rome.

Entering Sunday’s game, Ike Davis, who had played in seven games was hitting .308/.419/.692 with 5 XBH in 26 AB.  By comparison, Justin Smoak, who was named the tournament’s MVP had hit 9 HR and owned a .956 slugging percentage entering the championship game. That looks like a tasty line, but the US team dominated the field, winning their final 13 straight and hit .301/.390/.616 as a team while holding their opponents to a meager .162/.250/.256.

Shawn Bowman (.275/.387/.471)and Jon Malo’s (.263/.378/.474) Canadian team placed third, their best showing ever at the World Cup.

Stefan Welch’s (.259/.279/.569) Aussie side finished fifth.

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The Pena Legacy?

By Toby Hyde on 24. Sep, 2009

fmartcardIn light of Special Assistant Ramon Pena’s firing, lets take a look at some of the Mets top international prospects performances this season.  All of the players listed numerically are among my top 30 Mets prospects.
1. Fernando Martinez – signed July 2, 2005 (pre-Pena).  Made his MLB debut at age 20, after tearing the cover off the ball in May in AAA.
2. Jenrry Mejia – signed April 4, 2007 by Ramon Pena, Ismael Cruz & Sandi Rosario.  A true find.  Mejia put up a 1.97 ERA in the FSL and then struck out more than a batter an inning as a 19-year old in AA.
3. Wilmer Flores – signed 8/6/07 by Ismael Cruz, Sandy Johnson & Robert Alfonzo.  Hit .264/.305/.332 as a 17/18-year old in the SAL in 2009.
4. Jefry Marte – signed 7/2/07 by Ramon Pena, Ismael Cruz & Marciano Alvarez. Hit .233/.279/.338 as a 17/18 year old in the SAL in 2009.
5. Ruben Tejada - signed 7/11/06 by Ismael Cruz, Wilfredo Blanco and Alex Zapata.  Hit .289/.351/.381 as a 19-year old in AA.
6. Jeurys Familia - signed 7/13/07 by Ramon Pena, Ismael Cruz and Marcelino Vallejo.  Finished 3rd in the SAL in ERA (2.69) at age 19, while making significant strides during the year.
7. Juan Urbina – signed 2009
8. Francisco Pena – signed 7/8/06 by Ramon Pena, Ismael Cruz and Juan Mercado.  Hit .224/.258/.329 in the FSL at age 19 with a career-best 8 HR.  That’s the same number of HR as Josh Thole has hit in his entire professional career since 2005.  Starting Pena at Savannah at age 17 with no professional experience in 2007 made no sense then or now, but hardly seems like something to put on Ramon Pena’s head.
9. Eduardo Aldama – signed 7/15/06 by Ismael Cruz, Robert Alfonzo and Rafael Jimenez.  The 19-year old Venezuelan quietly had a nice season for Rookie Kingsport, fanning 57 in 61.2 innings and posting a 3.79 ERA.
10. Aderlin Rodriguez – the Mets big international signing in ’08.  The 17-year old had a successful debut in the GCL, hitting .290/.389/.387 in 17 games.
11. Cesar Puello – signed 7/2/07 by Ramon Pena, Ismael Cruz and Marciano Alvarez.  Hit .296/.373/.423 in 49 games for Kingsport as an 18-year old.  OBP supported by a whopping 14 HBP.

Notable: CF Javier Rodriguez, 2008′s second-round draft pick, repeated the GCL where he hit .230/.285/.338 as a 19-year old.

Notice that Ramon Pena is listed as a signing scout for Francisco Pena even though R. Pena wasn’t yet with the organization when F. Pena is supposed to have signed.

By definition, this the best of the group of international prospects.  However, it’s not a bad record as there’s certainly something for Mets fans to dream on in this group.

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On the Ramon Pena Firing

By Toby Hyde on 24. Sep, 2009

Wednesday, both the New York Times and the Daily News reported that the Mets were going to fire Special Assisant to the General Manager Ramon Pena, who was described as the “top official in charge of signing international talent” in the News.  Minor League Field Coordinator Luis Aguayo, who ran much of the instruction in Spring Training, XST and fall instructional league in Port St. Lucie has also been let go.

There are a number of ways to view this episode in Mets personnel management, focusing on Pena’s dismissal:

1.The simplest is that this is another sign of an organization that is simply not healthy.

2. It is a warning shot across Omar Minaya’s bow from the owners who sign his paychecks.  General Managers do not generally fire their special assistants willingly.  Minaya has been unable to protect Willy Randolph, Tony Bernazard and now Pena from the media and ownership.  If ownership stands by their word to bring back both Minaya and Manager Jerry Manuel, surely, some of Manuel’s coaches will be gone before November as well.

3. This should be the end of the Pedro Theory.  Remember, all the way back in 2005, when the Mets believed that signing Pedro Martinez was about more than baseball and that his presence would lure young Latin, especially Dominican ballplayers to the Mets?  In truth, young ballplayers care about money and opportunity, not a player twice their age.

4. Will the Mets Front Office be understaffed this winter as they deal with a very tricky redesign for 2010?  Adam Rubin reports that VP of Scouting Sandy Johnson plans to retire, although “the Mets are apparently trying to persuade him not to.”  Of Minaya’s top five lieutenants on Opening Day 2009, with Bernazard, Johnson and Pena gone, only AGM John Ricco and Special Assistant to the GM Bryan Lambe remain.

5. Was Pena simply fired for poor job performance?  Rubin:

“Pena’s dismissal signals displeasure with the performance of a number of high-caliber Latin American prospects signed as teenagers.”

David Waldstein in the Times:

“The Mets had hoped that Minaya’s management team would produce more major league talent from Latin America, and it appears the pressure is on to have better results.”

Do the math.  Pena was hired on July 18, 2006.  The international signing period begins on July 2.  Pena’s first full class, for which much of the actual legwork, including scouting and negotiations, was the 2007 group.
At SNY.tv, Ted Berg takes issue with the idea that the Mets Latin signings have underperformed.   As Ted points out, Deolis Guerra, who was signed pre-Pena, was used to acquire Johan Santana, which means he’s been extraordinarily valuable at the MLB level. Fernando Martinez joined 71 other players in the last 50 years to make his MLB debut at age 20 or younger and have at least 80 plate appearances in that first season.
6. Evaluating Pena’s job performance from the outside is very difficult.  What were his precise responsabilities as a special assistant?  What kind of budget was he given annually?  Where did his responsabilities end and Director of International Operations Ismael Cruz’s begin?  Which players did he want to sign but could not because the Mets were outbid by other teams?  Moreover, the majority of young players signed out of Latin America will not reach rookie-ball in the States, let alone become become big leaguers.  Because of unpredictability of results, process must take on greater import.
7. Busted – The Real Reason. Rubin:
“A source said he worked as a high-level executive for Gigantes del Cibao, a Dominican winter-league team, without permission of the Mets last offseason, which irked team officials.”
This certainly sounds like a nearly fireable offense. If I was paying someone a yearly salary, and they took another high-profile job while on my payroll, I’d let them walk too.  Did Pena take the Cibao job for money or experience?  If it’s money, shouldn’t the Mets be paying their top executives enough that they don’t have to moonlight in the Domincan in the offseason?  If it’s experience, what does that say about Pena’s regard for his colleagues and bosses?
8. Who’s Next?
Waldstein:
“The departure of Pena, whose responsibilities included international scouting, is expected to be part of a larger shakeup in scouting and player development.”
On the minor league side, Adam Wogan is Director of Minor League Operations and the acting Director of Player Development.  Rafael Perez oversees International Player Development.  Wogan now oversees the Coordinators, including now former Field Coordinator, Aguayo.  Other coordinators include: Kevin Morgan (Coordinator of Instruction/Infield), Rick Waits (Pitching), Lamar Johnson (Hitting) and Bob Natal (Catching).
Obviously, 2009 has been an extraordinarily disappointing year on the field for the Mets.  But is the team working on fixing its structure or dispatching scapegoats?