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Mid-Season Top 41 Review – Part 2: 31-36

By Toby Hyde on 01. Jul, 2011

Lets get into part two of my mid-season review of my pre-season Top 41 Mets Prospects.

Part 1 on players 36-41 is here.

 

#31 – 3B Jefry Marte
What I thought: Marte, who was limited by hamstring injuries in 2010, was better in 2010 than 2009 and had a chance to put things together.
Reality: Well, he looks like he’s improved a little. His offensive numbers across the board look extraordinarily similar to last year, actually shockingly similar to last year. Considering that he’s moved up a level and is playing in advanced-A as a 20-year old, I think we can count that as progress.
On defense, after committing 25 errors in 80 games a year ago with an .892 fielding percentage, he’s committed 15 in 72 games, a .906 fielding percentage. That’s a better but Marte still has a long way to go. Obviously, errors aren’t everything, but only three 3B in MLB have committed as many as ten errors: Adrian Beltre (10), Casey McGehee (13) and Mark Reynolds (18). The three have widely disparate fielding values with Beltre ranked as the second-best by UZR/150, McGehee a few runs below average, and Reynolds the worst in baseball.
Stock: Up.

Basic

G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG
2009 SAL 123 485 113 21 6 6 25 117 .233 .279 .338
2010 SAL 82 329 87 19 4 6 30 65 .264 .333 .401
2011 FSL 75 280 78 16 1 5 27 53 .279 .345 .396

Advanced

XBH% SO% BB% HR% BABIP
2009 SAL 6.3 22.2 4.8 1.1 .291
2010 SAL 7.9 17.8 8.2 1.6 .312
2011 FSL 7.0 16.9 8.6 1.6 .324


#32 – OF Sean Ratliff
What I thought: He was a good athlete who hit for power.
Reality: He’ll miss the entire 2011 season after needing facial surgery to reconstruct the area around his eyes and sinuses.

Stock: Down.  I hate writing down for Ratliff here, but the reality is that next year, he’ll be 25 years old with 73 games above a-ball to his credit coming off a major surgery.


#33 – LHP Josh Edgin
What I thought: I saw Josh Edgin’s fastball and slider last year and saw two MLB pitches which added up to a nice bullpen piece.
Reality: Edgin was untouchable in the SAL with a fastball that picked up a little velocity and was sitting 92-93 and a slider in the low 80s that terrified A-ball hitters.  Edgin’s command was shaky to begin the year: he walked five batters in his first two appearances over 1 inning of work in the SAL.  He walked five more in his subsequent 30 innings, a BB/9 of 1.5.  If he can carry that forward, well,  yeah, that’s good.
Stock: UP.

Basic

ERA G/GS IP H R ER HR BB SO BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB HR/9 H/9
2010 APPY 2.84 18/0 31.6 28 15 10 2 12 41 3.4 11.7 3.4 0.6 8.0
2011 SAL 0.87 24/0 31 14 4 3 0 10 41 2.9 11.9 4.1 0.0 4.1
2011 FSL 0.00 6/0 9.1 5 0 0 0 4 9 4.0 8.9 2.3 0.0 4.9
2011 Total 0.70 29/0 38.3 19 4 3 0 14 50 3.3 11.7 3.6 0.0 4.5

Advanced

TBF BB% SO% HR%
2010 APP 139 8.6% 29.5% 1.4%
2011 SAL 118 8.5% 34.7% 0.0%
2011 FSL 36 11.1% 25.0% 0.0%
2011 Total 154 9.1% 32.5% 0.0%

 

 


#34 – SS Wilfredo Tovar
What I thought: A brilliant defender who made a lot of contact, Tovar would see the upper levels of the minors on his glove alone, but who would need to prove he could hit.
Reality: Yup.  He’s still a sweet defender at second or short.  On the other hand, he didn’t hit at all the first two months, bottoming out at .185/.240/.230 on May 30.  And in June, the 19-year old has been excellent going .333/.396/.402.  Note the low BABIP on Tovar.  This is no accident.  Early in the year, he was getting under pitch after pitch, producing pop-up after popup.  In the last month, he’s made some nice adjustments.  At contact, he’s done a much better job getting on top of pitches, producing liners and grounders and laying off the stuff he can’t handle.  Overall, his walk rate is up, nearly double where it was a year ago.
Stock: Up a little.

Basic

G AB H 2B 3B HR BB SO AVG OBP SLG
2010 A+ 30 118 29 5 1 0 3 22 .246 .276 .305
2010 A 44 160 45 10 0 0 8 12 .281 .327 .344
2010 SSA 18 68 18 2 1 0 2 9 .265 .311 .324
2010 Total 92 346 92 17 2 0 13 43 .266 .307 .327
2011 SAL 73 272 63 12 1 0 19 29 .232 .287 .283

Advanced

XBH% SO% BB% HR% BABIP
2010 A+ 4.8 17.7 2.4 0.0 .302
2010 A 5.8 6.9 4.6 0.0 .304
2010 SSA 3.9 11.7 2.6 0.0 .300
2010 Total 5.1 11.5 3.5 0.0 .303
2011 SAL 4.3 9.7 6.4 0.0 .257

 

#35 – RHP Nick Carr
What I thought: Carr had a big arm and might make an eventual bullpen piece, but has been hampered by injuries and control problems stemming from a violent delivery.
Reality: He’s been largely healthy and made incremental progress, striking out a few more batters and trimming his walk rate.  However, a walk rate of 4.0/9 IP or 11% of total batters faced, leaves plenty of room for improvement.
Stock: Holding

Basic

ERA G/GS IP H R ER HR BB SO BB/9 SO/9 SO/BB HR/9 H/9
2010 FSL – A+ 5.40 16/0 23.3 25 15 14 3 16 26 6.2 10.0 1.6 1.2 9.7
2011 FSL – A+ 1.86 20/0 29 24 6 6 3 13 33 4.0 10.2 2.5 0.9 7.4

Advanced

TBF BB% SO% HR%
2010 As % 110 14.5% 23.6% 2.7%
2011 as % 122 10.7% 27.0% 2.5%